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Projections & Budget Scenarios

Inflation Scenario Comparator

Compare low, central, and high assumptions.

Inflation Scenario Comparator: Scenario Inputs

Live Model
$
%

Annual percentage rate or benchmark index change.

3y
%
Computed Results

Inflation & Purchasing Power Analysis

Real Adjusted Value
$67,645
Effective base purchasing power
Purchasing Power Loss
-$7,355
-9.81% cumulative loss
Target Inflation Break-Even
$83,154
Salary needed to keep pace
Net Real Wage Growth
-1.45%/yr
Nominal raise vs price index

Over 3 years at 3.5% inflation, a $75,000 salary requires $83,154 to retain equal purchasing power. Without matching raises, your real compensation experiences an effective reduction of $7,355 (-9.81%).

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How Inflation Scenario Comparator Works?

The Inflation Scenario Comparator tests three inflation rates. Each scenario uses the same starting pay, raise plan and time span so the effect of inflation is clear.

  1. Enter the pay plan

    Type the starting salary, the planned annual raise and the number of years.

  2. Set 3 scenarios

    Enter a low, central and high inflation rate, such as 2%, 3.5% and 6%.

  3. Run each scenario

    The calculator computes required salary and real pay for each rate.

  4. Compare outcomes

    The output table shows which scenarios leave real pay higher or lower than today.

Inflation Scenario Comparator Formula

The Inflation Scenario Comparator formula applies the real-pay equation once per scenario.

Real pay in scenario s

Reals = Salary0 × (1 + g)n ÷ (1 + is)n

Required pay in scenario s

Requireds = Salary0 × (1 + is)n

Variables

g
Planned annual raise
is
Inflation rate in scenario s
n
Number of years

Worked example

A $75,000 salary with 3% annual raises over 5 years has a real value of $64,971 in the 6% high scenario and $78,749 in the 2% low scenario.

Inflation Scenario Comparator Conversion Table

This table compares 3 inflation scenarios for a $75,000 salary with 3% annual raises over 5 years.

ScenarioInflation rateNominal pay in year 5Required pay in year 5Real pay (today's dollars)Real change
Low2.0%$86,946$82,806$78,749+5.00%
Central3.5%$86,946$89,076$73,206-2.39%
High6.0%$86,946$100,367$64,971-13.37%

What is Inflation Scenario Comparator?

The Inflation Scenario Comparator is a tool that runs one salary through low, central and high inflation assumptions and compares the results side by side. Scenario analysis replaces a single forecast with a range.

The comparator shows the required salary, the real value of planned pay and the real gain or loss in every scenario.

What are the uses of Inflation Scenario Comparator?

There are 4 main uses of the Inflation Scenario Comparator.

  • Test raise plans

    Check whether a raise plan holds up under high inflation, not only under the central case.

  • Budget for payroll risk

    Finance teams size payroll increases across a range of inflation outcomes.

  • Negotiate indexation

    Show why a contract needs inflation protection in the high scenario.

  • Communicate uncertainty

    Present a range instead of a single forecast to employees or clients.